Decomposition-Based Time-Frequency Augmentation for Few-Shot Time-Series Forecasting
-
Abstract
As a pivotal technique for predicting future temporal variations through historical data analysis, time-series forecasting is critical in scientific and engineering domains such as energy management, traffic-flow prediction, financial market-price analysis, and meteorological simulation. Whereas the integration of deep learning has considerably enhanced the accuracy of predictive models, their high reliance on large-scale annotated data continues to impose significant constraints on real-world applications, particularly under few-shot scenarios. Although few-shot learning for vision and language modalities has progressed significantly, the methodological framework for few-shot time-series forecasting remains underdeveloped. The unique temporal-domain characteristics (trend patterns) and frequency-domain features (seasonality) inherent in time-series data render it challenging to directly transfer few-shot learning strategies from other modalities. Hence, we propose a temporal-frequency domain data-augmentation framework for few-shot time-series forecasting, which enhances data diversity through decoupling and reinforcing trend-seasonal components. First, we employ time-series decomposition to decouple raw sequences into trend and seasonal components. Second, we design a temporal mix-up strategy to apply linear interpolation perturbations on trend components, coupled with a dominant-shuffle method that injects controllable noise into the spectral domain of seasonal components. Finally, we construct three augmented samples through component recombination, i.e., time-augmented, frequency-augmented, and hybrid time-frequency-augmented samples. Extensive experiments on four benchmark datasets demonstrate that our method significantly improves few-shot performance across state-of-the-art forecasting models. Compared with large-language-model-based baselines, our approach enables lightweight models to achieve superior prediction accuracy in 80% of scenarios while substantially reducing computational costs.
-
-